By MARK HANOK
During the past week, the combination of unusually warm weather in the northern Great Plains and upper Midwest, combined with Hurricane Gustav along the central Gulf Coast, ensured a continuation of magnificent last summer weather here in Otsego County.
At our weather station in Otego, August turned out to be a very dry month, with only 1.45 inches of rain, or about one-third of the normal precipitation. While there was more rain at many other locations in Otsego and Delaware counties, there was an average of about half the normal precipitation in our region during August, and it was a cooler than normal month, with temperatures one to two degrees below normal.
A series of tropical storms will break the current dry weather pattern across the Northeast, and we could share in some of that rain early in the weekend. On Friday, Hanna — a tropical storm or hurricane — will track northward up the East Coast and may affect the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina. We’ll continue with beautiful weather in Otsego County, with high pressure east of New England. With partly sunny skies, highs will be in the mid-80s with moderate levels of humidity.
The weather on Saturday will depend on the exact track of Hanna; if the storm moves inland and further west and north through Pennsylvania and then western New York, we could get heavy rain along with strong winds. However, even with this kind of storm track, there will be enough dry air in the storm circulation to bring intervals of sunshine along with bands of heavy rain. A track further east, just out to sea, will keep mostly cloudy skies in our area on Saturday, with only a few showers. Highs will be in the mid-70s.
As the storm moves to the north or northeast, partly sunny skies will return on Sunday, with a few showers mainly in the morning, and highs from 75 to 80 degrees. Skies will be partly sunny on Monday with a westerly flow of dry air; highs will be from 70 to 75 degrees. On Tuesday, skies will be partly sunny with a few showers, as moisture associated with another tropical storm combines with an approaching cold front; highs will be in the low 70s.
Mark Hanok is an Otegobased meteorologist. You can visit him on the World Wide Web at http://members. aol.com/weathergazette.
By MARK HANOK
- Weather Watch
- Weather watch The Susquehanna River level will be unusually low for the General Clinton Canoe Regatta during Memorial Day weekend.
- Weather Watch It’s really uncanny how the very dry weather pattern has continued in this area despite the succession of major storms that have moved to the west and south.
- Weather Watch Now that north has become a synonym for sunshine and south has become a synonym for rain, there’s no way that this extremely dry weather pattern can change at least for the next four weeks.
- Weather Watch March was the third straight month with below normal precipitation, and it looks like April will also turn out to be drier than normal.
- Weather Watch Temperatures were near normal in March, with precipitation around an inch below normal.
- Weather Watch On Friday a major storm will move to the Ohio Valley, while high pressure builds southward from eastern Canada. Skies will be partly sunny with highs from 55 to 60 degrees.
- Weather Watch When it’s warmer to the north and cooler to the south, it’s so easy to get into an extremely dry weather pattern in Otsego County. The weather forecast in last week’s weather column was more optimistic than other local weather forecasts, but the weather was actually much better than even we predicted.
- Weather Watch The jet stream will shift southward this week and a series of low pressure systems will move well to our south.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we predicted at the beginning of the month, it was one of the driest Februaries on record in Otsego County and throughout most of central and eastern New York. Thanks to the extreme upside-down temperature pattern with much warmer weather in Montana than in Georgia, and strong winds on Monday and Tuesday, an extremely dry weather pattern will be the theme for at least the next two to three weeks.
- Weather Watch Exactly as we’ve been predicting for the past month, this is turning out to be an exceptionally dry February - one of the driest on record in central and eastern New York.
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